E – Estimation: Forecasting that Actually Works

Tired of missed deadlines and finger-pointing? In this chapter, Evan reframes estimation from a guessing game to a collaborative process that builds trust, alignment, and predictability.

You’ll learn why relative estimation (story pointing) outperforms time-based guessing—and how to introduce baseline anchors, Planning Poker, and Bucket Estimation to make sizing work a team sport. Evan explains the rationale behind using Fibonacci sequences, how to normalize points across teams, and how to use velocity for real forecasting—not fantasy planning.

The key isn’t perfect precision. It’s creating a shared language that helps teams estimate effort, surface hidden complexity, and plan with confidence.

Consulting takeaway: Evan trains delivery teams and executives on story pointing, capacity planning, and estimation strategies that bring sanity and realism back to Agile planning.